Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.207031 17.755407 20.531502 23.771457 27.439734 31.454692 36.171932
2025-03-02 10.676663 14.092828 18.203933 23.471949 29.994867 37.755203 47.629514
2025-03-09 8.053956 11.753968 16.578089 23.228606 32.043883 43.200833 58.241699
2025-03-16 5.920461 9.469771 14.442996 21.753660 32.027821 45.726233 65.097153
2025-03-23 5.031272 8.683623 14.112084 22.513933 34.878649 52.043226 77.218114
2025-03-30 4.415953 8.162371 14.030811 23.532862 38.083754 58.988673 90.605470
2025-04-06 3.604338 7.157348 13.033254 22.994415 38.868852 62.464343 99.241083
2025-04-13 2.852987 6.097849 11.767675 21.829988 38.506912 64.128029 105.235130
2025-04-20 2.613667 5.915178 11.933263 22.991030 41.863821 71.577144 120.274608
2025-04-27 2.451320 5.846596 12.278127 24.469967 45.828683 80.189635 137.562683
2025-05-04 2.175370 5.495258 12.051734 24.903172 48.050269 86.144667 151.003100
2025-05-11 1.877445 5.037420 11.554296 24.774249 49.265144 90.504948 162.101069
2025-05-18 1.579089 4.537879 10.944604 24.446368 50.245525 94.785818 173.759941
2025-05-25 1.331358 4.104885 10.414314 24.227485 51.441010 99.584608 186.715171
2025-06-01 1.122804 3.716085 9.912239 23.994150 52.572280 104.331375 199.856505
2025-06-08 0.868496 3.131668 8.865031 22.480498 51.080441 104.297773 204.734266
2025-06-15 0.787868 3.015502 8.890229 23.263018 54.159007 112.690662 224.799632
2025-06-22 0.729516 2.951094 9.030143 24.310939 57.849996 122.419854 247.732911
2025-06-29 0.605847 2.642390 8.498364 23.757277 58.178902 125.856801 259.468930
2025-07-06 0.478528 2.275283 7.739474 22.559722 57.017613 126.343638 265.779012
2025-07-13 0.452616 2.264293 7.956218 23.753801 61.121768 137.287532 292.091745
2025-07-20 0.438046 2.292865 8.290195 25.274472 66.055839 150.121609 322.533500
2025-07-27 0.392708 2.184888 8.206247 25.719831 68.608722 158.333067 344.531310